BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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North Carolina St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 55 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (4-4) Overall: (8-4) Overall Strength =  153.27

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/03/2022 Away    W   153.87  21  20   1A  62 (  7-  5) East Carolina          -0.34      1.34                      
  2 09/10/2022 Home    W   164.44  55   3   1B  74 (  2-  8) Charleston Southern    10.24 *   41.76                      
  3 09/17/2022 Home    W   171.56  27  14   1A  23 (  7-  5) Texas Tech             17.35     -4.35                      
  4 09/24/2022 Home    W   161.52  41  10   1A 114 (  6-  6) Connecticut             7.32     23.68                      
  5 10/01/2022 Away    L * 156.39  20  30   1A  13 ( 11-  2) Clemson                 2.19    -12.19                      
  6 10/08/2022 Home    W * 165.06  19  17   1A  11 (  9-  3) Florida St             10.85     -8.85                      
  7 10/15/2022 Away    L * 140.26   9  24   1A  52 (  7-  5) Syracuse              -13.94     -1.06                      
  8 10/27/2022 Home    W * 138.19  22  21   1A  96 (  3-  8) Virginia Tech         -16.01     17.01                      
  9 11/05/2022 Home    W * 162.28  30  21   1A  40 (  7-  5) Wake Forest             8.08      0.92                      
 10 11/12/2022 Home    L * 133.65  20  21   1A 103 (  3-  9) Boston College        -20.56     19.56                      
 11 11/19/2022 Away    L * 146.77  10  25   1A  28 (  7-  5) Louisville             -7.44     -7.56                      
 12 11/25/2022 Away    W * 156.46  30  27   1A  59 (  9-  4) North Carolina          2.26      0.74                      
      Averages             154.21  25.3 19.4

Best game:  171.56 = 13 point win over Texas Tech
Worst game: 133.65 = 1 point loss to Boston College
Team stdev:  11.99